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OCC and OTS Mortgage Metrics Report Q3 2009OCC and OTS Mortgage Metrics Report Q3 2009 This report is the latest release from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and Office of Thrift Supervision on the mortgage industry and the stats on the performance.  It is a great report that...

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VIX Is LowVIX Is Low There is an old saying on Wall Street that when the VIX is high you buy and when its low you go.  For those unfamiliar with the VIX index it is the ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange...

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Alcoa Earnings PreviewAlcoa Earnings Preview Alcoa kicks off earnings tonight.  Obviously the industry that Alcoa falls into has been red hot as of late with the falling dollar.  It will be interesting to see what the numbers look like.  Below...

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Shadow Inventory Put At 1.7 Million in 3Q Shadow Inventory Put At 1.7 Million in 3Q A study done by First American Core Logic released by CAR (California Association of Realtors): “Shadow Housing Inventory” Put At 1.7 Million in 3Q According to First American CoreLogic. Summary: As...

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Will History Repeat? If so, SPY @ $52Will History Repeat? If so, SPY @ $52 A lot of happy people out there... or so it seems.  The green shoots have bloomed into amazing profits at banks and a 60%+ rally in the market from the dark lows.  I'll admit I've been a happy camper...

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Art Cashin Video

Posted by NHF | Posted in Financial Pundits | Posted on 24-12-2009

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Art Cashin, the director of floor operations for UBS, does a nice job in this interview of smoothing out everything that happened this past year and putting it all in perspective.

Part 2 he goes deeper into history and also the current trade environment for investors.

Part 2 and 3 on the full post……

Good Video on Big Bank Games

Posted by NHF | Posted in Financial Pundits | Posted on 15-12-2009

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Below is a video by Dylan Ratigan on MSNBC, who has been putting together some great work on exposing the financial nonsense going on out there.   It seems like the people of the United States would revolt with all these games the big banks are playing.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Classic CNBS Video

Posted by NHF | Posted in Financial Pundits | Posted on 11-12-2009

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Another funny CNBS video where Larry “Goldilocks” Kudlow, quote “Doesn’t want to paint a rosy picture” but absolutely tries… and rejects any intelligent remarks from the real estate expert.  You are the man Larry! Don’t let anyone that is an expert in a particular field challenge your all knowing brain.

Also here is a chart telling the story in California

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Roubini: A Big Crash Is Coming, But I Don’t Believe in Gold

Posted by NHF | Posted in Financial Pundits | Posted on 23-10-2009

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From The Business Insider, Oct, 23, 2009:

Nouriel Roubini believes that a “wall of liquidity” is chasing all kinds of assets, yet once the economy disappoints expectations, it will all come crashing down.

Yet for Dr. Doom, gold isn’t the answer.

According to him, despite the temporarily asset bubbles right now, we’re still in a deflationary world and we’ll realize it soon enough once growth stagnates and all kinds of inflated asset categories come falling down.

Roubini:

I don’t believe in gold. Gold can go up for only two reasons. [One is] inflation, and we are in a world where there are massive amounts of deflation because of a glut of capacity, and demand is weak, and there’s slack in the labor markets with unemployment peeking above 10 percent in all the advanced economies. So there’s no inflation, and there’s not going to be for the time being.

The only other case in which gold can go higher with deflation is if you have Armageddon, if you have another depression. But we’ve avoided that tail risk as well. So all the gold bugs who say gold is going to go to $1,500, $2,000, they’re just speaking nonsense. Without inflation, or without a depression, there’s nowhere for gold to go. Yeah, it can go above $1,000, but it can’t move up 20-30 percent unless we end up in a world of inflation or another depression. I don’t see either of those being likely for the time being. Maybe three or four years from now, yes. But not anytime soon.

This seems like the same drum that Roubini has been beating.  He has a strong case that deflation could be in our future.   Although right now I feel like we are in a limbo land where the direction has been found.  Could be a rocky ride either way and be sure that your ready to play the market either way.