Naked Hedge Fund Weekly #34

Naked Hedge Fund Weekly #34

Back to square one.

Naked Hedge Fund weekly. 2 page PDF report on full post.

YTD 5 trading days. YTD NHF Portfolio +1.02% vs S&P 500 -3.3%

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Prechter Calls Dow 1000

Prechter Calls Dow 1000

Robert Prechter is known for his ultra bearish calls and yes… Dow 1000 would fall into that category (90% drop from our current levels). In this New York Times article they give a little background on Prechter and there is a bit of a sense that they are belittling his theory…..

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Naked Hedge Fund Weekly #33

Naked Hedge Fund Weekly #33

Not Uncle Sam’s Market

YTD 5 trading days. YTD NHF Portfolio +6.42% vs S&P 500 -8.3%

Naked Hedge Fund weekly. 2 page PDF report on full post.

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Davidowitz Videos

Davidowitz Videos

Howard Davidowitz is great at voicing his opinion and I think that his thoughts are usually pretty spot on. These 2 videos are an example of that.

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Ouch

Ouch

Today was a viscous day to the downside as it broke through the support that we mentioned a couple posts ago. This triggered our stop on SPY and now have a short position with SH, since the portfolio for this site is either long or short at all times…. no cash. Unfortunately with gap down…..

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Naked Hedge Fund Weekly #32

Naked Hedge Fund Weekly #32

Whipsaw

YTD 4 trading days. YTD NHF Portfolio +5.49% vs S&P 500 -3.5%

Naked Hedge Fund weekly. 2 page PDF report on full post.

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Market Update

Market Update

This has been a nightmare week. The decision to go long last week has turned up sour so far and makes me think of the scene from Anchorman when he jumps into the bear cage and says ” I immediately regret this decision”. Things looked hopeful Monday morning with the rally….

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Naked Hedge Fund Weekly #31

Naked Hedge Fund Weekly #31

Squeezee

YTD 4 trading days. YTD NHF Portfolio +9.19% vs S&P 500 0.2%

Naked Hedge Fund weekly. 2 page PDF report on full post.

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Going Long

Going Long

Made the trade today. Not exactly the best case scenario. Was hoping for a pullback to get a better price, but the trend has been established and don’t want to fight the tape anymore. Bought SPY today $111.75 and sold SH at $50.85. Hopefully this turns into a healthy trend and not choppiness.

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Market Update – Charts

Market Update – Charts

The market was able to confirm its uptrend recently despite some bearish items. Some of the bearish items are flailing financials, weak IWM (Russell 2k), relatively weak tech, and very low volume with the uptrend. These items are a concern and are the reason we are not completely sold on the new uptrend, but we will still have to respect it. The next couple days will be telling if the bulls can hold on to start a viable uptrend.

Below are 3 charts of the market (SPY). A short term (2 week), mid term (6 month), and long term (4 year) chart showing mark ups that I made.

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