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OCC and OTS Mortgage Metrics Report Q3 2009OCC and OTS Mortgage Metrics Report Q3 2009 This report is the latest release from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and Office of Thrift Supervision on the mortgage industry and the stats on the performance.  It is a great report that...

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VIX Is LowVIX Is Low There is an old saying on Wall Street that when the VIX is high you buy and when its low you go.  For those unfamiliar with the VIX index it is the ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange...

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Alcoa Earnings PreviewAlcoa Earnings Preview Alcoa kicks off earnings tonight.  Obviously the industry that Alcoa falls into has been red hot as of late with the falling dollar.  It will be interesting to see what the numbers look like.  Below...

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Shadow Inventory Put At 1.7 Million in 3Q Shadow Inventory Put At 1.7 Million in 3Q A study done by First American Core Logic released by CAR (California Association of Realtors): “Shadow Housing Inventory” Put At 1.7 Million in 3Q According to First American CoreLogic. Summary: As...

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Will History Repeat? If so, SPY @ $52Will History Repeat? If so, SPY @ $52 A lot of happy people out there... or so it seems.  The green shoots have bloomed into amazing profits at banks and a 60%+ rally in the market from the dark lows.  I'll admit I've been a happy camper...

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NHF Weekly #6

Posted by NHF | Posted in NHF Weekly | Posted on 3:05 pm December 20, 2009

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Below is a PDF with the NHF weekly.  Click on it for the 2 page report.

Weekly11-28-09

Weekend Reading

Posted by NHF | Posted in Economics | Posted on 8:37 am December 19, 2009

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If your looking to take a break from last minute Christmas shopping insanity here are some interesting articles:

Strategic defaults – conditioning, morality, or naïveté?  – THE BIG PICTURE

The Jobless Rate for People Like You – New York Times – Interactive

Seven U.S. Banks Are Seized, Raising Year’s Failure Toll to 140 – Bloomberg

Nigeria militants attack pipeline;break cease-fire – Yahoo

SPY Update

Posted by NHF | Posted in Stock Technical Analysis | Posted on 8:16 am December 18, 2009

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SPY has not been making it very easy to be long for a breakout or Santa rally.  Below is a chart showing its support and resistance levels going into the last week of trading next week before Christmas.

spy12-18-09

This is what this past week has felt like:

Good Video on Big Bank Games

Posted by NHF | Posted in Financial Pundits | Posted on 9:00 pm December 15, 2009

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Below is a video by Dylan Ratigan on MSNBC, who has been putting together some great work on exposing the financial nonsense going on out there.   It seems like the people of the United States would revolt with all these games the big banks are playing.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Breakout Potential

Posted by NHF | Posted in Stock Technical Analysis | Posted on 12:41 pm December 14, 2009

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The stock market is setting up for a possible breakout of a month long consolidation.  Below is a chart showing this.  We changed our position to long today. (Sold SH at $52.70 and bought SPY at $111.80)

spy12-14-09

NHF Weekly #5

Posted by NHF | Posted in NHF Weekly | Posted on 5:10 pm December 13, 2009

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Below is a PDF with the NHF weekly.  Click on it for the 2 page report.

Weekly11-28-09

Classic CNBS Video

Posted by NHF | Posted in Financial Pundits | Posted on 1:09 pm December 11, 2009

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Another funny CNBS video where Larry “Goldilocks” Kudlow, quote “Doesn’t want to paint a rosy picture” but absolutely tries… and rejects any intelligent remarks from the real estate expert.  You are the man Larry! Don’t let anyone that is an expert in a particular field challenge your all knowing brain.

Also here is a chart telling the story in California

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